Should-Read: Ed Lorenzen: @CaptainPAYGO on Twitter

Should-Read: I say it is time to promote this guy to Admiral: AdmiralPAYGO!: Ed Lorenzen: @CaptainPAYGO on Twitter: “The Treasury Department dynamic ‘analysis’ of tax reform makes a mockery…

…of dynamic analyis and does a disservice to those who advocate for serious dynamic estimates https://t.co/PudiRrQzu1

This is a surprise? Static analysis was always about making a bias-variance tradeoff: A static analysis would be biased, but have lower mean-squared error because the “dynamic” terms would inevitably be overwhelmingly large-magnitude political-partisan-lobbyist-ideologue noise: Night Thoughts on Dynamic Scoring

December 11, 2017

AUTHORS:

Brad DeLong
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